The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target

Publication information:

Rogoff, Kenneth. 1985. “The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target”. Quarterly Journal of Economics 100: 1169-89.

Abstract

Society can sometimes make itself better off by appointing a central banker who does not share the social objective function, but instead places "too large" a weight on inflation-rate stabilization relative to employment stabilization. Although having such an agent head the central bank reduces the time-consistent rate of inflation, it suboptimally raises the variance of employment when supply shocks are large. Using an envelope theorem, we show that the ideal agent places a large, but finite, weight on inflation. The analysis also provides a new framework for choosing among alternate intermediate monetary targets.